Now the government guidance has unleashed the herd, you can be assured that for the next two weeks we are going to have good news on Covid 19 deaths. And better news on excess deaths, come to that. In two weeks time the Prime Minster and his cabinet will be announcing a massive reduction in these we strongly suspect.
You can imagine the Prime Minster’s Churchillian lines:
We fought Covid on the beaches
We fought it on the landing grounds
We fought it in the fields
And we fought it in the streets
And we won!
Or something akin to that.
But that is simply not true. The fall in cases is a pattern that necessarily follows lock down: the virus could not successfully infect enough people and so cases have fallen. It is also a pattern of all pandemics, broadly speaking; they come and go in waves.
How big any second wave might be cannot be determined yet. We personally believe covid-19 may look as though it’s heading for the exit, but it’ll back; which all things considered could trigger another lockdown. If this happens, as we suspect it may, businesses who’ve opened up across the county; and our district, would be a further blow for businesses in Kent.
Note this picture this morning (13/05/20) from the Mirror:
They seem clueless about social distancing there. No common sense! The train would have been packed.
And so the second wave begins.
At this rate admissions to A & E will rise in two weeks. By the end of June deaths will be rising again: there is a six-week delay, near enough. And July and August could be horrible.
And there will be no one but the government to blame.
Increased deaths will inevitably occur we honestly believe, as the consequences of the change in policy take time to emerge.
The Shepwayvox Team
The Velvet Voices of Dissent